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Ever wondered how TV programs knew the exact odds of winning of all players at the table? By calculating outs and formulating odds on the basis of these.
But even as a player, calculating these figures is extremely important as it will guide the decisions you make at the table.
Whether you are just a beginner or want to improve your poker game it’s essential you learn how to count your outs and calculate your odds.
This article will show you how to count the exact number of outs you can hit to win a hand and how to convert your outs into odds.
What is a poker out?
After you’ve gotten your initial cards dealt to you in a poker hand, you usually need to draw or hit certain cards to make your hand a winner. Outs are the all the possible cards you could get to improve your hand. In simpler terms an out is any card that will give you the best hand.
Before you start it is a good idea to learn your poker hand rankings. After you know these rankings you need to be able to read the table for example if there are possible straights, flushes or pairs.
The more time you spend practising counting your outs the simpler it will become.
Most commonly, you’ll be talking about how many outs you have after the flop in Texas Hold’em.
How to count your outs?
Calculating Poker outs is basic arithmetic. The more outs you have, the better your odds are of improving your hand or winning.
As mentioned before your outs are generally determined after the flop is dealt. However, they can come into play as odds before the flop.
Just to note, a player with a hand of AA (double aces) has more outs than anyone else as there are many other cards that can be paired with AA to form a winning hand.
Counting your odds is quite simple its all about counting the cards left in the deck that would give you the best possible hand.
For example: If you have two hearts and you get two on the flop there is still nine hearts left. Therefore you have nine outs.
If you have a inside straight draw and just need a seven- there are four seven’s left in the deck so therefore your outs are four.
The chart below illustrates the number of outs for the most common hands players normally have and hope to improve their hand.
What are poker odds?
Poker odds are any player’s probability to win that game with the cards in their hands. In other words the odds players are offered by the pot to make a call.
How to calculate your odds?
After you have mastered how to count your outs you can then calculate the chance of the card you need coming next out of the deck.
For example: you hold a pair of 2’s and you want to make a three of a kind.
There are 2 2’s left in the deck which means you have 2 outs
You are holding 2 cards in your hand and there are four cards exposed on the table from the flop and the turn, which means that there 46 unseen cards left.
It’s important to ignore the cards that your opponent is holding as the calculations are only based on the cards you can see and what should be left in the deck.
Next you subtract the amount of unseen cards left in the deck from the amount of outs you have: 46 unseen cards – 2 winning cards = 44
Therefore the odds of you getting a card to complete your flush is 44 to 2 which simplifies down to odds 22:1 (as in chart below).
This means that you have a 22-1 chance of the card you need coming out of the deck.
What constitutes good odds
After you have learned what your odds are it’s equally important to know whether you should call a bet, go all in or fold.
It is simple to spot good odds, good odds give you a high percentage chance of winning a hand.
If your odds are similar to 4-1 or 3-1 odds it is best to bet with caution.
If your odds are 2.5 -1 or above there is an high chance of winning and therefore players could go all in if they wish.
Odds of 4.88 or lower are considered bad odds so therefore it is advised that players fold or bet the minimal amount.
The chart below illustrates some common poker odds and their percentage of winning.
For readers interested in learning about basic poker strategy, check out our guide and tips to get your first win!